Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.003246 0.003404 0.003565 0.003742 0.003932 0.004129 0.004349
2025-05-11 0.002953 0.003187 0.003435 0.003719 0.004036 0.004380 0.004783
2025-05-18 0.002762 0.003038 0.003338 0.003692 0.004099 0.004554 0.005107
2025-05-25 0.002669 0.002982 0.003330 0.003750 0.004246 0.004817 0.005530
2025-06-01 0.002553 0.002889 0.003270 0.003738 0.004303 0.004968 0.005821
2025-06-08 0.002444 0.002796 0.003202 0.003708 0.004330 0.005079 0.006062
2025-06-15 0.002333 0.002694 0.003115 0.003649 0.004316 0.005133 0.006228
2025-06-22 0.002238 0.002607 0.003041 0.003600 0.004308 0.005190 0.006396
2025-06-29 0.002178 0.002558 0.003012 0.003602 0.004362 0.005325 0.006669
2025-07-06 0.002071 0.002447 0.002901 0.003497 0.004273 0.005269 0.006681
2025-07-13 0.002023 0.002408 0.002877 0.003499 0.004322 0.005395 0.006942
2025-07-20 0.002000 0.002398 0.002888 0.003548 0.004431 0.005603 0.007327
2025-07-27 0.001939 0.002339 0.002836 0.003512 0.004428 0.005659 0.007501
2025-08-03 0.001887 0.002291 0.002796 0.003490 0.004442 0.005739 0.007714
2025-08-10 0.001838 0.002243 0.002756 0.003465 0.004450 0.005810 0.007913
2025-08-17 0.001824 0.002241 0.002773 0.003519 0.004567 0.006039 0.008362
2025-08-24 0.001784 0.002205 0.002744 0.003508 0.004593 0.006136 0.008612
2025-08-31 0.001741 0.002161 0.002705 0.003480 0.004593 0.006195 0.008804
2025-09-07 0.001690 0.002106 0.002648 0.003426 0.004552 0.006190 0.008892
2025-09-14 0.001644 0.002058 0.002599 0.003381 0.004523 0.006200 0.009004
2025-09-21 0.001618 0.002034 0.002583 0.003383 0.004562 0.006315 0.009293
2025-09-28 0.001558 0.001963 0.002500 0.003286 0.004451 0.006196 0.009184
2025-10-05 0.001535 0.001943 0.002487 0.003289 0.004489 0.006308 0.009471